Election in Virginia
2021 Virginia gubernatorial election Turnout 55.3% 7.7
County and independent city resultsYoungkin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%McAuliffe: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
The 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021 to elect the next governor of Virginia . The election was concurrent with other elections for Virginia state offices. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ralph Northam was ineligible to run for reelection, as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits governors from serving consecutive terms.
Republican businessman Glenn Youngkin defeated Democratic former Governor Terry McAuliffe to become the 74th Governor of Virginia.[2] Youngkin won the Republican nomination at the party's May 8 convention, which was held in 37 polling locations across the state,[3] and was officially declared the nominee on May 10.[4] The Democratic Party held its primary election on June 8,[5] which McAuliffe easily won.[6]
In the general election, Youngkin was projected to defeat McAuliffe by the narrowest margin in a Virginia gubernatorial election since 1989 . He was the first Republican to win a statewide election in Virginia since 2009 and only the fourth to win the governorship in 40 years. McAuliffe conceded the day after the election and congratulated Youngkin, saying he was "proud" to campaign "for the values we so deeply believe in".[7] [8] Republicans also flipped the lieutenant governor and attorney general races that were held concurrently,[9] as well as took control of the Virginia House of Delegates . This election, as well as the concurrent elections for lieutenant governor and attorney general , marked the first time since the 1969 gubernatorial election that a Republican won Virginia without Loudoun County , and the first time since the 1960 presidential election that a Republican won without Prince William County . This is the first time Surry County backed the Republican candidate since John Warner 's largely uncontested re-election in 2002 and the first time Prince Edward County or Northampton County voted Republican since 2009 . Over 3.28 million votes were cast, exceeding the 2017 gubernatorial election total by roughly 625,000, and all previous Virginia gubernatorial elections by over a million.
Youngkin's win was seen as an upset after McAuliffe led polls[10] until the closing weeks of the campaign.[11] Education, public health, and culture issues were the centerpiece of Youngkin's platform throughout the election cycle.[12] [13] [14] Youngkin promised to ban the teaching of critical race theory within state schools on "day one", push back against certain COVID-19 mandates and restrictions , and advocate for a small government agenda within the state of Virginia.[15] [16] [17]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Endorsements
Jennifer Carroll Foy
Federal officials
State delegates
Local official
Organizations
Labor unions
Individuals
Terry McAuliffe
Governor
U.S. Representative
State delegates
State senators
Local officials
Labor unions
Newspapers
Individuals
Organizations
Jennifer McClellan
State delegates
[61]
State senators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Debates
This section
needs expansion . You can help by
adding to it .
(June 2021 )
A debate between the five candidates took place on April 6, 2021.[70] Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax compared scrutiny of his sexual assault allegations to that of the cases of George Floyd and Emmett Till in the debate.[71]
Polling
Graphical summary
Results
Results by county and independent city:
McAuliffe—80–90%
McAuliffe—70–80%
McAuliffe—60–70%
McAuliffe—50–60%
McAuliffe—40–50%
Republican convention
The Republican nomination process for the 2021 elections was the subject of a lengthy and acrimonious debate within the Republican Party of Virginia .[73] [74] On December 5, 2020, the state Republican Party voted to hold a convention instead of a primary by a vote of 39 to 35.[75] State Senator Amanda Chase initially indicated that she would run as an independent,[76] but she later decided to seek nomination at the convention; on the day of the convention, she acknowledged that if she did not win the nomination, she may reconsider and run as an independent, although she eventually decided against this.[77] Faced with pressure from the Chase campaign and activists to return to a primary, the state committee debated scrapping the convention on January 23, 2021. These efforts were unsuccessful and the party reaffirmed their decision to hold a convention.[78] On February 9, 2021, the Chase campaign sued the Republican Party of Virginia, arguing that the convention is illegal under COVID-19 -related executive orders signed by Governor Ralph Northam .[79] The Richmond Circuit Court dismissed the Chase campaign's lawsuit on February 19, 2021.[80] The Republican Party of Virginia announced on March 26, 2021, that seven gubernatorial candidates had qualified to appear on the convention ballot.[81] On April 11, 2021, the state Republican Party Rules Committee voted to tabulate the ballots by hand; three days later, however, the committee reversed itself and decided to use a vendor's software-based tabulation method.[73]
On April 20, 2021, five candidates (Amanda Chase, Kirk Cox, Sergio de la Peña, Peter Doran, and Glenn Youngkin) participated in a forum at Liberty University in Lynchburg .[82] Two candidates, Octavia Johnson and Pete Snyder, did not attend the forum.[82] [83]
The state Republican convention to select the party's nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general took place on May 8, 2021,[74] [73] in "unassembled" format,[73] with ballots to be cast remotely at up to 37 locations statewide[74] using ranked-choice voting .[73] The complex process fueled internal party disputes.[84] Up to 40,000 people were anticipated to become delegates, although not all would necessarily cast votes.[73] Local Republican Party leaders control the application process to become a delegate, decide who can participate (voter registration in Virginia does not include a space to indicate party affiliation), and select the convention voting site.[84] In the preceding Virginia Republican gubernatorial convention, 12,000 participated.[73]
Orthodox Jewish Virginia Republicans asked the party to allow absentee voting for religious reasons (May 8 is on the Jewish Sabbath ), but the State Central Committee initially voted down the request, failing to achieve the 75% supermajority needed to change the rules.[85] However, the Virginia GOP ultimately reversed course and allowed those with religious objections to vote in the May 8 convention via absentee ballots. Republican candidates Kirk Cox, Peter Doran, and Glenn Youngkin had criticized the previous decision to not accommodate Orthodox Jews.[86]
Candidates
Nominated at convention
Defeated at convention
Foreign policy analyst
Peter Doran from
McLean
Did not qualify
Declined
Charles William Carrico Sr. , former state senator for Virginia's 40th Senate district and retired state trooper (endorsed Cox) [100]
Neil Chatterjee , former chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission [101]
Barbara Comstock , former U.S. Representative for Virginia's 10th congressional district [102]
Nick Freitas , state delegate for Virginia's 30th House of Delegates district , candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and nominee for Virginia's 7th congressional district in 2020 [103]
Emmett Hanger , state senator for Virginia's 24th Senate district [104]
Bill Stanley , state senator for Virginia's 20th Senate district [105]
Corey Stewart , attorney, former chairman of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors , nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and candidate for governor of Virginia in 2017 [106] (endorsed Youngkin)
Endorsements
Amanda Chase
Executive branch officials
Kirk Cox
U.S. Senators
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State delegates
State senators
Individuals
Pete Snyder
Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Representatives
State delegate
State senator
Individuals
Glenn Youngkin
U.S. Senator
Governor
State senator
State delegate
Polling
Graphical summary
Without convention polling
Primary polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Amanda Chase
Kirk Cox
Sergiode la Peña
Peter Doran
Octavia Johnson
Pete Snyder
Glenn Youngkin
Other
Undecided
Change Research (D)
May 5–6, 2021
605 (LV)
± 4.4%
29%
7%
2%
0%
1%
13%
25%
–
25%
Public Policy Polling (D) [C]
April 2021
695 (LV)
± 3.7%
22%
7%
3%
1%
0%
16%
21%
–
30%
Christopher Newport University
January 31 – February 14, 2021
370 (RV)
± 5.6%
17%
10%
–
–
–
–
3%
–
55%
YouGov Blue (D)
February 6–11, 2021
170 (RV)
± 8.6%
24%
7%
1%
–
–
13%
5%
0%
54%
Convention polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Amanda Chase
Kirk Cox
Pete Snyder
Glenn Youngkin
Other
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [D]
April 29 – May 3, 2021
3,896 (LV)
± 1.6%
10%
10%
26%
38%
13%
3%
Final results by county and independent city:
Youngkin—80–90%
Youngkin—70–80%
Youngkin—60–70%
Youngkin—50–60%
Snyder—50–60%
Snyder—60–70%
Snyder—70–80%
Snyder—>90%
Results
Round-by-round result visualization of the Ranked Choice Voting election
Virginia GOP Convention, Governor Nominee[122]
Candidate
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Round 5
Round 6
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Glenn Youngkin
4131.80
32.9%
4140.55
33.0%
4148.91
33.0%
4331.93
34.5%
5311.43
42.3%
6869.22
54.7%
Pete Snyder
3241.61
25.8%
3243.84
25.8%
3249.71
25.9%
3502.91
27.9%
4078.25
32.5%
5684.78
45.3%
Amanda Chase
2605.89
20.8%
2611.54
20.8%
2619.83
20.9%
2859.39
22.8%
3164.32
25.2%
Eliminated
Kirk Cox
1693.58
13.5%
1698.13
13.5%
1705.90
13.6%
1859.77
14.8%
Eliminated
Sergio de la Peña
805.35
6.4%
812.44
6.5%
829.65
6.6%
Eliminated
Peter Doran
42.28
0.3%
47.50
0.4%
Eliminated
Octavia Johnson
33.48
0.3%
Eliminated
Other parties and independents
Candidates
Declared
Did not qualify
Declined
General election
On August 26, the Republican Party of Virginia filed a lawsuit to disqualify McAuliffe from appearing on the ballot in November. The suit alleges that McAuliffe did not sign his declaration of candidacy, which is needed to qualify in the primary and general election.[133] It was found that the declaration of candidacy was missing his signature, although it includes two witnesses' signatures. The suit also alleges the witnesses violated state law by witnessing a signing that didn't occur.[134]
Debates
Canceled debates
On July 12, Glenn Youngkin announced he would not take part in the July 24 debate hosted by the Virginia Bar Association because of a donation made by one of the moderators, Judy Woodruff .[135] [136] Woodruff had made a $250 donation to the Clinton Foundation relief fund after the 2010 Haiti earthquake . The foundation is run by Hillary and Bill Clinton , who are close allies to Terry McAuliffe.[135] On July 28, after discovering that Youngkin would participate in an 'election integrity' rally at Liberty University , McAuliffe declined a debate at the same university.[137] On August 2, Youngkin declined participation in The People's Debate.[138] The two candidates pledged to two debates; one on September 16 and one on September 28.[139]
First debate
Youngkin and McAuliffe met at Appalachian School of Law in Grundy, Virginia on September 16, 2021, one day before early voting began.[140] The debate was hosted by USA Today Washington Bureau Chief, Susan Page .[141]
The debate started with discussion over a recent COVID-19 mandate President Joe Biden signed requiring federal workers, employees of large companies, and contractors to be vaccinated.[142] [143] Youngkin doubted if Biden had the power to authorize the mandate, and supported personal choice for receiving the vaccine. McAuliffe supported the mandate and accused Youngkin of spreading "anti-vax" rhetoric .[143] Youngkin denied the claim.[139] McAuliffe also supported requiring vaccines for students over the age of 12.[144] McAuliffe has also repeatedly made false statements about COVID-19 , often inflating the number of cases.[145]
The discussion moved to climate change , where Youngkin stated he would use all sources of energy to address climate change without "putting [the] entire energy grid at risk for political purposes." McAuliffe called for clean energy in the state by 2035 and stressed the idea for the state to be a production hub.[139]
The discussion then moved to abortion, specifically the recent Texas Heartbeat Act signed by Texas Governor Greg Abbott (who endorsed Youngkin).[146] When asked whether or not Youngkin would sign a similar bill, Youngkin stated that he would not sign the bill, and that he was pro-life and supports exclusions in cases such as rape, incest, and when the life of the mother is endangered. He also stated he supports a "pain-threshold" bill that would ban most abortions at the point when a fetus can feel pain, which proponents of this type of law define as 20 weeks.[139] In addition, Youngkin stated McAuliffe was "the most extreme pro-abortion candidate in America today".[146] In response to Youngkin, McAuliffe stated he was a "brick wall" on women's rights and would protect a woman's decision over abortion and supports reducing the number of doctors needed to certify a third-trimester abortion from three to one.[146] McAuliffe falsely stated that Youngkin wants to completely ban abortion.[147]
The next discussion topic was over election integrity. After supporting an "Election Integrity Taskforce", Youngkin stated he does not believe there has been "significant fraud", and stated the issue of fraud as "a democracy issue". Youngkin stressed that he believes that "Joe Biden's our president" and criticized the withdrawal from Afghanistan . McAuliffe took note to Donald Trump's endorsement of Youngkin, calling him a "Trump wannabe".[143] Both candidates stated they would concede the election if the other came out on top.[146]
The final discussion topic was over the economy. McAuliffe attacked Youngkin on his top economic advisor, Stephen Moore , who advised Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign . Youngkin defended Virginia's right-to-work law .[146]
Second debate
Youngkin and McAuliffe met at the Northern Virginia Chamber of Commerce on September 28, 2021.[148] The event was hosted by Chuck Todd , moderator of NBC 's Meet the Press . Less than a week before the debate, one of the panelists, Michael Fauntroy , withdrew from the debate after tweets against the GOP and Evangelicals were found.[149]
On the discussion topic of COVID-19, Youngkin and McAuliffe reiterated their stances on the vaccines. Youngkin stated he believed in mandates for vaccines for diseases measles , mumps and rubella , but not for COVID-19, saying that "the data associated with those vaccines is something that we should absolutely understand the difference between this vaccine."[150] Youngkin said people should get vaccinated against COVID-19.[150]
During the debate, Youngkin noted that Trump was regularly mentioned by McAuliffe, who again called Youngkin a "Trump wannabe."[150] [151] When asked, Youngkin stated he would support Trump if he were to become the Republican nominee in 2024 .[151]
Approximately 15 minutes into the debate, third party candidate Princess Blanding, who was in the audience, disrupted the debate, screaming that her exclusion from the debate was "unfair" and claiming that McAuliffe would not win the election.[152] After being escorted out by security, she claimed that being excluded from the debate was racist and sexist, and that it constituted "censorship".[153]
Predictions
Endorsements
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Federal officials
Joe Biden , 46th President of the United States (2021–present), 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), and former U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[157]
Kamala Harris , 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present), and former U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021)[158]
Barack Obama , 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), former U.S. Senator for Illinois (2005–2008), former Illinois senator (1997–2004)[159]
Bill Clinton , 42nd President of the United States (1993–2001) and 40th and 42nd Governor of Arkansas (1979–1981, 1983–1992)[160]
Hillary Clinton , 2016 Democratic nominee for President of the United States, 67th U.S. Secretary of State (2009–2013), candidate for President in 2008 , U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), First Lady of the United States (1993–2001)[160]
Governors
U.S. Senators
Cory Booker , U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present), 38th Mayor of Newark (2006–2013)[162]
Tim Kaine , 2016 Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States, U.S. Senator from Virginia (2013–present), 70th Governor of Virginia (2006–2010), 38th Lieutenant Governor of Virginia (2002–2006), 78th Mayor of Richmond (1998–2001)[163]
Amy Klobuchar , U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2007–present)[164]
Jon Ossoff , U.S. Senator from Georgia (2021–present)[165]
Alex Padilla , U.S. Senator from California (2021–present), 30th Secretary of State of California (2015–2021)[166]
Mark Warner , U.S. Senator from Virginia (2009–present), and 69th Governor of Virginia (2002–2006)[158]
Elizabeth Warren , U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[167]
U.S. Representatives
Don Beyer , U.S. Representative for Virginia's 8th congressional district (2015–present) and 36th Lieutenant Governor of Virginia (1990–1998)[164]
Rick Boucher , former U.S. Representative for Virginia's 9th congressional district (1983–2011)[168]
Jim Clyburn , U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 6th congressional district (1993–present) and House Majority Whip (2007–2011, 2019–present)[169]
Donald McEachin , U.S. Representative for Virginia's 4th congressional district (2017–present)[170]
Jim Moran , former U.S. Representative for Virginia's 8th congressional district (1991–2015) and former Mayor of Alexandria (1985–1991)[50]
Elaine Luria , U.S. Representative for Virginia's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[49]
Nancy Pelosi , Speaker of the House , (2007–2011, 2019–present) U.S. Representative for California's 12th congressional district (1987–present)[48]
Bobby Scott , U.S. Representative for Virginia's 3rd congressional district (1993–present)[171]
Abigail Spanberger , U.S. Representative for Virginia's 7th congressional district (2019–present)[172]
Jennifer Wexton , U.S. Representative for Virginia's 10th congressional district (2019–present)[173]
State legislators
Stacey Abrams , former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives (2011–2017), former Georgia state representative (2007–2017) and founder of Fair Fight Action [174]
Lamont Bagby , state delegate from the 74th district (2015–present)[175]
John Bell , state senator from the 13th district (2020–present) and former state delegate from the 87th district (2016–2020)[52]
Jennifer Boysko , state senator from the 33rd district (2019–present)[176]
Richard Cranwell , former Majority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates (1991–2000), former Minority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates (2000–2002), and former Chair of the Democratic Party of Virginia (2005–2010)[54]
Karrie Delaney , state delegate from the 67th district (2018–present)[52]
Barbara Favola , state senator from the 31st district (2012–present)[52]
Eileen Filler-Corn , state delegate from the 41st district (2010–present) and Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates (2020–present)[33]
Jennifer Carroll Foy , former state delegate from the 2nd district (2018–2020) and candidate for governor in 2021 [177]
Charniele Herring , state delegate from the 46th district (2009–present), Majority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates (2020–present), and former Chair of the Democratic Party of Virginia (2012–2014)[53]
Janet Howell , state senator from the 32nd district (1992–present)[57]
Chris Hurst , state delegate from the 12th district (2018–present)[54]
Jay Jones , state delegate from the 89th district (2018–present)[178]
Louise Lucas , state senator from the 18th district (1992–present) and President pro tempore of the Senate of Virginia (2020–present)[53]
Delores McQuinn , state delegate from the 70th district (2009–present)[55]
Martha Mugler , state delegate from the 91st district (2020–present)[56]
Kathleen Murphy , state delegate from the 34th district (2015–present)[52]
David Ramadan , former state delegate from the 87th district (2012–2016) (Republican)[179]
Sam Rasoul , state delegate from the 48th district (2014–present)[180]
David A. Reid , state delegate from the 32nd district (2018–present)[52]
Dick Saslaw , state senator from the 35th district (1980–present), Majority Leader of the Senate of Virginia (2020–present), and former state delegate from the 19th district (1976–1980)[181]
Shelly Simonds , state delegate from the 94th district (2020–present)[43]
Suhas Subramanyam , state delegate from the 87th district (2020–present)[43]
Rip Sullivan , state delegate from the 48th district (2014–present)[43]
Luke Torian , state delegate from the 52nd district (2010–present)[33]
David Toscano , former Minority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates (2011–2018) and former Mayor of Charlottesville (1994–1996)[51]
Roslyn Tyler , state delegate from the 75th district (2006–present)[55]
Schuyler VanValkenburg , state delegate from the 72nd district (2018–present)[43]
Vivian Watts , state delegate from the 39th district (1996–present) and former Virginia Secretary of Transportation and Public Safety (1986–1990)[43]
Rodney Willett , state delegate from the 73rd district (2020–present)[182]
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals
Glenn Youngkin (R)
Executive Branch officials
Donald Trump , 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[200]
Mike Pence , 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021)[201]
Steve Bannon , White House Chief Strategist and Senior Counselor to the President (2017)[202]
Mike Pompeo , Secretary of State (2018–2021), Director of the CIA (2017–2018), and U.S. Representative from Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)[203]
Nikki Haley , United States ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[204] [205]
Ben Carson , United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2017–2021)[206]
Ken Cuccinelli , Principal Deputy Director of United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (2019–2021), Attorney General of Virginia (2010–2014), nominee for Governor of Virginia in 2013 [207]
Sergio de la Peña , Secretary of Defense for Western Hemisphere Affairs (2017–2020)[208]
Robert E. Martinez , Associate Deputy Secretary of Transportation (1992–1993)[208]
U.S. Senators
Governors
George Allen , 67th Governor of Virginia (1994–1998) and United States Senator (2001–2007)[213]
Greg Abbott , Governor of Texas (2015–present)[205]
Bob McDonnell , 71st Governor of Virginia (2010–2014) and 44th Attorney General of Virginia (2006–2009)[213]
Doug Burgum , Governor of North Dakota (2016–present)[205]
Larry Hogan , Governor of Maryland (2015–present)[205]
Jim Gilmore , 68th Governor of Virginia (1998–2002), and 38th Attorney General of Virginia (1994–1997)[213]
Bill Lee , Governor of Tennessee (2019–present)[205]
Brad Little , Governor of Idaho (2019–present)[214]
Kevin Stitt , Governor of Oklahoma (2019–present)[119]
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Rich Anderson , former state delegate from the 51st district (2010–2018) and Chair of the Republican Party of Virginia (2020–present)[221]
Kathy Byron , state delegate from the 22nd district (1998–present)[222]
Amanda Chase , state senator for the 11th district (2016–present) and candidate for governor in 2021 [128] [129]
Kirk Cox , state delegate from the 66th district (1990–present) and former Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates (2018–2020)[223]
Todd Gilbert , Minority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates (2020–present) and state delegate from the 15th district (2012–present)[224]
Chris Head , state delegate from the 17th district (2012–present)[220]
Jen Kiggans , state senator from the 7th district (2020–present)[220]
Terry Kilgore , state delegate from the 1st district (1994–present)[225] [226]
John McGuire , state delegate from the 56th district (2018–present)[121]
Joe McNamara , state delegate from the 8th district (2018–present)[220]
Stephen Newman , state senator from the 23rd district (1996–present), former President pro tempore of the Senate of Virginia (2016–2020), and former state delegate from the 23rd district (1992–1996)[120]
Mark Obenshain , state senator from the 26th district (2004–present) and nominee for Attorney General of Virginia in 2013 [227]
Mark Peake , state senator from the 22nd district (2017–present)[222]
Richard Stuart , state senator from the 28th district (2008–present)[228]
David Suetterlein , state delegate from the 19th district (2016–present)[220]
Wendell Walker , state delegate from the 23rd district (2020–present)[222]
Michael Webert , state delegate from the 18th district (2012–present)[229]
Bill Wiley , state delegate from the 29th district (2020–present)[230]
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Glenn Youngkin (R)
Other/Undecided[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics
October 20–31, 2021
November 1, 2021
46.8%
48.5%
4.8%
Youngkin +1.7%
FiveThirtyEight
August 1 – November 1, 2021
November 1, 2021
47.0%
47.9%
5.1%
Youngkin +1.0%
Average
46.9%
48.2%
5.0%
Youngkin +1.4%
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Glenn Youngkin (R)
PrincessBlanding (Lib. )
Other
Undecided
Research Co.
October 31 – November 1, 2021
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
47%
48%
2%
–
3%
Targoz Market Research
October 26 – November 1, 2021
747 (LV)
± 3.6%
50%
47%
–
–
3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
October 29–31, 2021
1,081 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
49%
–
2%
2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 27–30, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
45%
47%
2%
–
6%
Echelon Insights
October 27–29, 2021
611 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
49%
2%
–
4%
Roanoke College
October 14–28, 2021
571 (LV)
± 4.7%
48%
47%
1%
0%
4%
Fox News
October 24–27, 2021
1,212 (RV)
± 2.5%
47%
48%
–
2%
3%
1,015 (LV)
± 3.0%
45%
53%
–
1%
1%
Washington Post/Schar School
October 20–26, 2021
1,107 (RV)
± 3.5%
47%
44%
3%
2%[c]
3%
49%
45%
–
3%[d]
4%
918 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
48%
1%
0%[e]
2%
49%
48%
–
0%[f]
2%
Christopher Newport University
October 17–25, 2021
944 (LV)
± 3.5%
49%
48%
1%
–
1%
Suffolk University
October 21–24, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
46%
45%
2%
–
7%
Emerson College
October 22–23, 2021
875 (LV)
± 3.2%
48%
48%
1%
–
3%
co/efficient (R) [E]
October 20–21, 2021
785 (LV)
± 3.5%
43%
47%
5%
–
5%
Cygnal (R)
October 19–21, 2021
816 (LV)
± 3.4%
48%
48%
1%
–
3%
KAConsulting LLC (R) [F]
October 18–21, 2021
661 (LV)
± 3.8%
41%
43%
–
1%
15%
Virginia Commonwealth University
October 9–21, 2021
722 (LV)
± 6.4%
41%
38%
–
10%
11%
Monmouth University
October 16–19, 2021
1,005 (RV)
± 3.1%
46%
46%
–
2%
7%
1,005 (LV)[g]
45%
48%
–
–
–
1,005 (LV)[h]
48%
45%
–
–
–
Data for Progress (D)
October 4–15, 2021
1,589 (LV)
± 2.0%
50%
45%
–
2%
3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
October 11–13, 2021
1,095 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
48%
–
1%
3%
Fox News
October 10–13, 2021
1,004 (RV)
± 3.0%
52%
41%
–
2%
5%
726 (LV)
± 3.5%
51%
46%
–
1%
2%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)
October 9–12, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
47%
43%
–
0%
10%
YouGov/CBS News
October 4–11, 2021
1,040 (LV)
± 4.1%
50%
47%
–
2%
0%
Christopher Newport University
September 27 – October 6, 2021
802 (LV)
± 4.2%
49%
45%
1%
–
5%
Emerson College
October 1–3, 2021
620 (LV)
± 3.9%
49%
48%
–
1%
2%
Fox News
September 26–29, 2021
901 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
44%
–
1%
7%
Roanoke College
September 12–26, 2021
603 (LV)
± 4.6%
48%
41%
1%
1%
9%
Monmouth University
September 22–26, 2021
801 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
43%
–
2%
8%
801 (LV)[g]
48%
45%
–
–
–
801 (LV)[h]
50%
43%
–
–
–
Global Strategy Group (D)
September 16–20, 2021
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
45%
–
–
7%
KAConsulting LLC (R) [F]
September 17–19, 2021
700 (LV)
± 3.7%
46%
42%
–
1%
10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [G]
September 17–18, 2021
875 (V)
± 3.3%
45%
42%
–
–
13%
Virginia Commonwealth University
September 7–15, 2021
731 (LV)
± 6.9%
43%
34%
–
10%
13%
Emerson College
September 13–14, 2021
778 (LV)
± 3.4%
49%
45%
–
2%
5%
University of Mary Washington
September 7–13, 2021
1,000 (A)
± 3.1%
43%
38%
2%
6%[i]
11%
885 (RV)
± 3.3%
46%
41%
2%
–
–
528 (LV)
± 4.1%
43%
48%
2%
2%[j]
6%
Washington Post/Schar School
September 7–13, 2021
907 (RV)
± 4.0%
49%
43%
–
3%
4%
728 (LV)
± 4.5%
50%
47%
–
1%
2%
WPA Intelligence (R) [H]
August 30 – September 2, 2021
734 (LV)
± 3.6%
46%
48%
3%
–
4%
48%
48%
–
–
4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
August 26–29, 2021
1,074 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
46%
–
2%
5%
Monmouth University
August 24–29, 2021
802 (RV)
± 3.5%
47%
42%
–
2%
9%
802 (LV)[g]
47%
45%
–
–
–
802 (LV)[h]
49%
42%
–
–
–
Christopher Newport University
August 15–23, 2021
800 (LV)
± 3.6%
50%
41%
3%
–
6%
Change Research (D)
August 17–21, 2021
1,653 (LV)
± 3.6%
49%
43%
3%
–
5%
Change Research (D) [I]
August 14–18, 2021
1,334 (LV)
± 2.7%
47%
44%
–
–
9%
Roanoke College
August 3–17, 2021
558 (LV)
± 4.2%
46%
38%
2%
1%
13%
Virginia Commonwealth University
August 4–15, 2021
770 (RV)
± 5.4%
40%
37%
–
15%
9%
~747 (LV)
± 5.5%
40%
37%
–
14%
9%
co/efficient (R)
August 8–9, 2021
1,200 (LV)
± 2.8%
47%
45%
–
–
8%
WPA Intelligence (R) [H]
August 3–5, 2021
734 (LV)
± 3.6%
50%
43%
3%
–
4%
51%
45%
–
–
4%
co/efficient (R) [J]
July 25–27, 2021
762 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
40%
2%
–
13%
The Trafalgar Group (R)
July 8–10, 2021
1,104 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
45%
–
4%
4%
Spry Strategies (R) [K]
July 6–9, 2021
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
41%
–
2%
10%
JMC Analytics and Polling (R)
June 9–12, 2021
550 (LV)
± 4.2%
46%
42%
–
–
12%
WPA Intelligence (R) [H]
June 2–6, 2021
506 (LV)
± 4.4%
48%
46%
–
–
5%
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of October 21, 2021
Candidate
Amount raised
Glenn Youngkin
$49,864,353
Terry McAuliffe
$55,470,132
Princess Blanding
$27,494
Source: Virginia Public Access Project[240]
General election results
2021 Virginia gubernatorial election[241]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Glenn Youngkin
1,663,587
50.57
+5.60
Democratic
Terry McAuliffe
1,600,098
48.64
-5.26
Liberation
Princess Blanding
23,125
0.70
+0.70
Write-in
2,593
0.08
+0.03
Total votes
3,289,403
100
N/A
Turnout
Registered electors
5,951,368
Republican gain from Democratic
Results by county and city
County
Youngkin
McAuliffe
Blanding
Others
Votes
Percent
Votes
Percent
Votes
Percent
Votes
Percent
Accomack
7,878
61.08%
4,948
38.37%
67
0.52%
4
0.03%
Albemarle
19,141
37.21%
31,919
62.05%
347
0.67%
36
0.07%
Alexandria
14,013
24.02%
43,866
75.20%
385
0.66%
66
0.11%
Alleghany
4,530
74.52%
1,518
24.97%
26
0.43%
5
0.08%
Amelia
4,720
74.19%
1,617
25.42%
23
0.36%
2
0.03%
Amherst
9,731
71.00%
3,897
28.43%
72
0.53%
6
0.04%
Appomattox
5,971
80.26%
1,438
19.33%
26
0.35%
5
0.07%
Arlington
21,548
22.63%
73,013
76.67%
554
0.58%
116
0.12%
Augusta
26,196
77.93%
7,231
21.51%
170
0.51%
16
0.05%
Bath
1,539
79.04%
396
20.34%
11
0.56%
1
0.05%
Bedford
30,912
79.10%
8,001
20.47%
145
0.37%
21
0.05%
Bland
2,274
85.78%
364
13.73%
12
0.45%
1
0.04%
Botetourt
13,066
76.30%
3,990
23.30%
61
0.36%
8
0.05%
Bristol
3,773
73.30%
1,342
26.07%
30
0.58%
2
0.04%
Brunswick
2,880
47.34%
3,165
52.02%
34
0.56%
5
0.08%
Buchanan
5,083
84.72%
903
15.05%
8
0.13%
6
0.10%
Buckingham
3,894
63.29%
2,222
36.11%
35
0.57%
2
0.03%
Buena Vista
1,459
74.33%
481
24.50%
22
1.12%
1
0.05%
Campbell
18,213
78.39%
4,930
21.22%
77
0.33%
15
0.06%
Caroline
6,917
57.35%
5,045
41.83%
91
0.75%
8
0.07%
Carroll
9,868
83.45%
1,910
16.15%
43
0.36%
4
0.03%
Charles City
1,550
45.76%
1,822
53.79%
15
0.44%
0
0.00%
Charlotte
3,354
70.26%
1,396
29.24%
21
0.44%
3
0.06%
Charlottesville
2,774
15.99%
14,378
82.88%
173
1.00%
22
0.13%
Chesapeake
48,079
52.43%
42,907
46.79%
654
0.71%
59
0.06%
Chesterfield
80,889
51.76%
74,085
47.41%
1,194
0.76%
109
0.07%
Clarke
4,642
62.54%
2,739
36.90%
34
0.46%
7
0.09%
Colonial Heights
4,913
73.27%
1,729
25.79%
53
0.79%
10
0.15%
Covington
1,198
66.82%
579
32.29%
16
0.89%
0
0.00%
Craig
2,079
83.16%
400
16.00%
17
0.68%
4
0.16%
Culpeper
13,436
66.47%
6,661
32.95%
107
0.53%
10
0.05%
Cumberland
2,678
63.38%
1,515
35.86%
27
0.64%
5
0.12%
Danville
5,907
45.92%
6,872
53.42%
80
0.62%
5
0.04%
Dickenson
3,867
80.31%
934
19.40%
11
0.23%
3
0.06%
Dinwiddie
7,335
63.33%
4,181
36.10%
59
0.51%
7
0.06%
Emporia
723
39.47%
1,087
59.33%
20
1.09%
2
0.11%
Essex
2,684
57.00%
1,980
42.05%
39
0.83%
6
0.13%
Fairfax County
152,110
34.47%
286,316
64.89%
2,348
0.53%
492
0.11%
Fairfax
3,606
35.56%
6,465
63.74%
59
0.58%
12
0.12%
Falls Church
1,590
22.63%
5,388
76.69%
42
0.60%
6
0.09%
Fauquier
22,252
65.46%
11,570
34.04%
156
0.46%
14
0.04%
Floyd
5,230
69.75%
2,203
29.38%
59
0.79%
6
0.08%
Fluvanna
7,068
56.75%
5,312
42.65%
65
0.52%
9
0.07%
Franklin County
17,842
74.82%
5,894
24.71%
102
0.43%
10
0.04%
Franklin
1,270
42.83%
1,680
56.66%
14
0.47%
1
0.03%
Frederick
25,062
68.90%
11,164
30.69%
130
0.36%
19
0.05%
Fredericksburg
3,503
38.77%
5,402
59.79%
113
1.25%
17
0.19%
Galax
1,424
73.94%
492
25.55%
9
0.47%
1
0.05%
Giles
5,788
78.33%
1,535
20.77%
61
0.83%
5
0.07%
Gloucester
12,585
72.37%
4,712
27.09%
88
0.51%
6
0.03%
Goochland
9,585
65.87%
4,910
33.74%
52
0.36%
5
0.03%
Grayson
5,144
82.48%
1,062
17.03%
27
0.43%
4
0.06%
Greene
5,961
67.42%
2,806
31.73%
68
0.77%
7
0.08%
Greensville
1,709
46.98%
1,915
52.64%
12
0.33%
2
0.05%
Halifax
8,641
63.90%
4,804
35.53%
75
0.55%
2
0.01%
Hampton
14,651
32.48%
29,971
66.45%
449
1.00%
33
0.07%
Hanover
39,954
67.65%
18,753
31.75%
322
0.55%
35
0.06%
Harrisonburg
4,382
38.65%
6,812
60.09%
131
1.16%
12
0.11%
Henrico
55,796
40.24%
81,409
58.71%
1,342
0.97%
120
0.09%
Henry
12,893
69.66%
5,529
29.87%
74
0.40%
13
0.07%
Highland
969
74.37%
325
24.94%
8
0.61%
1
0.08%
Hopewell
3,095
49.31%
3,085
49.16%
87
1.39%
9
0.14%
Isle of Wight
12,000
64.26%
6,565
35.16%
91
0.49%
17
0.09%
James City
21,048
52.50%
18,836
46.98%
186
0.46%
21
0.05%
King and Queen
2,112
64.77%
1,130
34.65%
18
0.55%
1
0.03%
King George
7,286
68.09%
3,317
31.00%
91
0.85%
7
0.07%
King William
6,286
73.33%
2,247
26.21%
33
0.38%
6
0.07%
Lancaster
3,448
58.71%
2,406
40.97%
16
0.27%
3
0.05%
Lee
6,372
87.60%
882
12.13%
18
0.25%
2
0.03%
Lexington
775
37.30%
1,289
62.03%
10
0.48%
4
0.19%
Loudoun
71,467
44.17%
89,390
55.25%
803
0.50%
134
0.08%
Louisa
11,649
66.04%
5,896
33.43%
87
0.49%
7
0.04%
Lunenburg
3,019
65.67%
1,567
34.09%
11
0.24%
0
0.00%
Lynchburg
13,668
54.89%
11,000
44.17%
198
0.80%
35
0.14%
Madison
4,721
70.17%
1,973
29.33%
29
0.43%
5
0.07%
Manassas
5,050
44.67%
6,155
54.44%
87
0.77%
14
0.12%
Manassas Park
1,379
38.34%
2,158
59.99%
46
1.28%
14
0.39%
Martinsville
1,676
42.48%
2,224
56.38%
40
1.01%
5
0.13%
Mathews
3,493
71.56%
1,363
27.92%
18
0.37%
7
0.14%
Mecklenburg
7,922
65.81%
4,075
33.85%
37
0.31%
3
0.02%
Middlesex
3,703
65.97%
1,860
33.14%
47
0.84%
3
0.05%
Montgomery
17,041
51.96%
15,355
46.82%
377
1.15%
22
0.07%
Nelson
4,259
55.46%
3,346
43.57%
64
0.83%
11
0.14%
New Kent
8,569
71.02%
3,439
28.50%
52
0.43%
6
0.05%
Newport News
21,241
39.14%
32,399
59.69%
588
1.08%
48
0.09%
Norfolk
18,888
31.45%
40,324
67.14%
789
1.31%
60
0.10%
Northampton
2,650
50.34%
2,584
49.09%
27
0.51%
3
0.06%
Northumberland
4,167
63.95%
2,312
35.48%
37
0.57%
0
0.00%
Norton
866
71.99%
320
26.60%
13
1.08%
4
0.33%
Nottoway
3,497
64.57%
1,892
34.93%
24
0.44%
3
0.06%
Orange
10,670
66.23%
5,351
33.22%
80
0.50%
9
0.06%
Page
7,594
78.92%
1,995
20.73%
28
0.29%
5
0.05%
Patrick
5,946
82.14%
1,255
17.34%
32
0.44%
6
0.08%
Petersburg
1,207
13.50%
7,591
84.87%
141
1.58%
5
0.06%
Pittsylvania
19,543
75.31%
6,319
24.35%
76
0.29%
12
0.05%
Poquoson
4,897
77.75%
1,364
21.66%
32
0.51%
5
0.08%
Portsmouth
9,946
33.34%
19,513
65.41%
355
1.19%
19
0.06%
Powhatan
12,582
76.86%
3,721
22.73%
58
0.35%
10
0.06%
Prince Edward
3,876
54.40%
3,210
45.05%
36
0.51%
3
0.04%
Prince George
8,548
64.65%
4,577
34.62%
84
0.64%
13
0.10%
Prince William
64,658
42.20%
87,352
57.01%
1,111
0.73%
97
0.06%
Pulaski
9,631
74.06%
3,277
25.20%
88
0.68%
9
0.07%
Radford
2,266
54.03%
1,879
44.80%
44
1.05%
5
0.12%
Rappahannock
2,507
59.45%
1,686
39.98%
19
0.45%
5
0.12%
Richmond County
2,225
69.90%
936
29.41%
20
0.63%
2
0.06%
Richmond
15,713
19.61%
61,929
77.27%
2,409
3.01%
91
0.11%
Roanoke County
28,157
65.70%
14,445
33.70%
220
0.51%
37
0.09%
Roanoke
12,024
41.25%
16,817
57.70%
272
0.93%
34
0.12%
Rockbridge
6,906
68.89%
3,071
30.64%
40
0.40%
7
0.07%
Rockingham
26,765
75.31%
8,569
24.11%
182
0.51%
23
0.06%
Russell
8,229
84.83%
1,452
14.97%
17
0.18%
3
0.03%
Salem
6,144
64.29%
3,344
34.99%
60
0.63%
8
0.08%
Scott
7,065
86.89%
1,034
12.72%
28
0.34%
4
0.05%
Shenandoah
13,693
74.64%
4,535
24.72%
107
0.58%
11
0.06%
Smyth
8,477
82.55%
1,751
17.05%
35
0.34%
6
0.06%
Southampton
5,084
64.90%
2,717
34.68%
29
0.37%
4
0.05%
Spotsylvania
32,478
59.84%
21,426
39.47%
346
0.64%
29
0.05%
Stafford
31,680
55.00%
25,463
44.20%
425
0.74%
35
0.06%
Staunton
4,640
47.49%
5,004
51.21%
119
1.22%
8
0.08%
Suffolk
17,351
47.26%
19,079
51.96%
252
0.69%
34
0.09%
Surry
1,768
50.00%
1,756
49.66%
9
0.25%
3
0.08%
Sussex
1,973
49.02%
2,028
50.39%
24
0.60%
0
0.00%
Tazewell
12,045
86.59%
1,821
13.09%
40
0.29%
4
0.03%
Virginia Beach
86,973
53.62%
73,965
45.60%
1,160
0.72%
99
0.06%
Warren
11,294
71.85%
4,328
27.53%
89
0.57%
8
0.05%
Washington
17,395
79.08%
4,505
20.48%
78
0.35%
18
0.08%
Waynesboro
4,473
56.94%
3,275
41.69%
99
1.26%
9
0.11%
Westmoreland
4,614
60.55%
2,971
38.99%
30
0.39%
5
0.07%
Williamsburg
1,703
34.54%
3,185
64.59%
40
0.81%
3
0.06%
Winchester
4,137
48.69%
4,294
50.54%
60
0.71%
5
0.06%
Wise
9,691
83.90%
1,796
15.55%
53
0.46%
11
0.10%
Wythe
9,458
81.78%
2,043
17.67%
59
0.51%
5
0.04%
York
17,485
58.59%
12,190
40.85%
150
0.50%
16
0.05%
See also
Notes
^ a b c d Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ Would not vote and None of these with 1%
^ Neither with 2%, Would not vote with 1%
^ Would not vote and None of these with 0%
^ Would not vote and Neither with 0%
^ a b c Weighted toward more low-propensity voters
^ a b c Weighted toward fewer low-propensity voters
^ None/Would not vote with 5%, other/write-in with 1%
^ None/Would not vote and other/write-in with 1%
Partisan clients
^ This poll was sponsored by Carroll Foy's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by McClellan's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
^ This poll was sponsored by Youngkin's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by Winsome Sears's campaign
^ a b This poll was sponsored by the Presidential Coalition
^ This poll was sponsored by Protect Our Care
^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Youngkin's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
^ This poll was sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy – VA
^ This poll was sponsored by the American Principles Project
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^ @aaronlarnavarro (October 18, 2021). "Sen. Romney on if he's following the #VAGov race (per @alanhe) "If asked, I'll give to Glenn Youngkin's campaign. And I think he's a good person and hope he'll be successful." " (Tweet). Retrieved October 22, 2021 – via Twitter . -->
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