2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election

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2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election
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  Phil Murphy for Governor (cropped 2).jpg Jack Ciattarelli.jpg
Nominee Phil Murphy Jack Ciattarelli
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sheila Oliver Diane Allen
Popular vote 1,315,286 1,240,818
Percentage 51.1% 48.2%
2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Murphy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Ciattarelli:      50–60%      60–70%
Governor before election

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Elections in New Jersey
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Mayoral elections

The 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021, to elect the governor of New Jersey.

The Democratic incumbent, Governor Phil Murphy, who was first elected in 2017 with 56% of the vote, ran for re-election to a second term.[2] He formally announced his intention to run for a second term on October 1, 2020.[3] Primaries were held on June 8, 2021. Murphy, who won the Democratic nomination unopposed after his two primary challengers were disqualified, faced Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli, Green nominee Madelyn Hoffman, Libertarian nominee Gregg Mele, and Socialist Workers Party nominee Joanne Kuniansky in the general election.

Murphy led the polls ahead of the election and it was considered by many media outlets to be a safe or likely Democratic hold.[4] However, Murphy defeated Ciattarelli by a much smaller margin than expected.[5] Murphy is the first Democratic governor of New Jersey to win re-election since Brendan Byrne in 1977, as well as the first candidate of the same party as the incumbent U.S. president to win since Thomas Kean in 1985. This is also the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 2009 where both the Democratic and Republican nominees received more than 1 million votes each.[5][6][7] Ciatterelli received the most votes out of any non governor-elect in a New Jersey gubernatorial election, and Murphy got the most votes for a New Jersey governor since 1989. It also was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election where the Green Party candidate placed third.

During the election, several technical problems with internet connections were reported across the state after newly installed voting machines were used for the first time, resulting in machine malfunctions that were eventually resolved, but caused a delay in the final results.[8][9][10] With 98% of the vote tallied, Ciattarelli conceded to governor Phil Murphy at a news conference on November 12, 2021.[11]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Roger Bacon, perennial candidate[12]
  • Lisa McCormick, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[13]

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 28, 2021
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Phil Murphy $7,966,075 $7,752,229 $213,846
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[17]

Results

Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Philip Murphy (incumbent) 382,984 100.0%
Total votes 382,984 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 28, 2021
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jack Ciattarelli $7,125,870 $7,045,692 $69,178
Brian Levine <$5,800 <$5,800 <$5,800
Phil Rizzo $678,619 $655,282 $23,337
Hirsh Singh $616,398 $615,931 $468
Doug Steinhardt (withdrew) $248,345 $221,819 $26,527
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[17]

Endorsements

Hirsh Singh
Individuals
  • Joseph Rudy Rullo, businessman, actor, and perennial candidate[24]
Phil Rizzo
State Legislators
Individuals

Lieutenant Governor nomination

Nominee

Potential candidates not selected

On May 4, 2021, the New Jersey Globe published a list of nine potential candidates for Lieutenant Governor after speaking with "more than two dozen Republican leaders, strategists and activists."[40] Diane Allen (who was selected as Republican gubernatorial nominee Jack Ciattarelli's running mate) was one of the names on this list. The others were:

Debates

2021 New Jersey Republican gubernatorial primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Jack Ciattarelli Brian Levine Phil Rizzo Hirsh Singh
1[41] May 25, 2021 WKXW Eric Scott [1] P N N P

A second debate on NJ PBS featuring Ciattarelli and Singh and moderated by NJ Spotlight News reporters Briana Vannozzi, Colleen O'Dea, and David Cruz was planned for May 26, 2021,[42] but later cancelled on May 24, 2021,[43] after Singh announced that he would decline to participate.[44]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jack
Ciattarelli 		Brian
Levine 		Phil
Rizzo 		Hirsh
Singh 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[b] May 24–25, 2021 591 (LV) ± 4.1% 29% 2% 8% 23% 38%
Brad Parscale (R)[c] April 16–21, 2021 >1200 (LV) ± 3% 20% 3% 10% 22% —

Results

Results by county:
Ciattarelli
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 167,690 49.46%
Republican Philip Rizzo 87,007 25.66%
Republican Hirsh V. Singh 73,155 21.58%
Republican Brian D. Levine 11,181 3.30%
Total votes 339,033 100.0%

General election

Five candidates appeared on the general election ballot, the lowest number of candidates for a New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1953, which also featured five.[45]

Candidates

Withdrew

Fundraising

General election campaign finance activity through October 19, 2021
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Phil Murphy $16,031,915 $12,553,403 $3,478,512
Jack Ciattarelli $13,126,924 $12,441,665 $685,259
Gregg Mele $6,000 <$5,800 N/A
Madelyn Hoffman $1,874 <$5,800 <$5,800
Joanne Kuniansky <$5,800 <$5,800 <$5,800
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[55]

Debates

Although New Jersey State Law gives until September 1, 2021, for independent gubernatorial candidates to fundraise $490,000 to qualify for the debates, the invitees of the first debate were definitively stated at around July 20, 2021, which was over a month before the deadline.[failed verification][56][57] Despite the third-party candidates being ineligible to debate in any debates that were sponsored by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, the New Jersey Globe held another debate for third-party Lieutenant Governor candidates on October 11, 2021.[58]

2021 New Jersey gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Libertarian Green Socialist Workers
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn Phil Murphy Jack Ciattarelli Gregg Mele Madelyn Hoffman Joanne Kuniansky
1[59][60] September 28, 2021 NJPAC Sade Baderinwa
Brian Taff 		[2] P P N N N
2[59] October 12, 2021 NJ PBS Briana Vannozzi [3] P P N N N
2021 New Jersey Lieutenant Governor debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Libertarian Green Socialist Workers
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn Sheila Oliver Diane Allen Eveline Brownstein Heather Warburton Vivian Sahner
1[59] October 5, 2021 New Jersey Globe David Wildstein
Shenell McCloud
Micah Rasmussen 		[4] P P N N N
2[58] October 11, 2021 Joey Fox [5] N N P P W

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[61] Solid D October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[62] Solid D November 1, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[63] Likely D November 1, 2021

Endorsements

Phil Murphy (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
County executives
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Jack Ciattarelli (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Newspapers
Trade associations
Madelyn Hoffman (G)
Individuals
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Date(s)
administered 		Dates
updated 		Phil
Murphy
Democratic 		Jack
Ciattarelli
Republican 		Gregg
Mele
Libertarian 		Madelyn
Hoffman
Green 		Joanne
Kuniansky
Socialist Workers 		Other/
Undecided
[e] 		Lead
Real Clear Politics Oct 15–31, 2021 Nov 1, 2021 50.5% 42.7% - - - 6.8% 7.8%

Graphical summary

Table

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Phil
Murphy
Democratic 		Jack
Ciattarelli
Republican 		Gregg
Mele
Libertarian 		Madelyn
Hoffman
Green 		Joanne
Kuniansky
Socialist Workers 		Other Undecided Lead
2021 NJ gubernatorial election Nov 2, 2021 2,575,943 - 51.06% 48.17% 0.30% 0.32% 0.15% - - 2.89%
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 50% 44% - - - 1% 5% 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) Oct 29–31, 2021 1,085 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% - - - 1% 4% 4%
Fairleigh Dickinson University Oct 23–28, 2021 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 53% 44% - - - 3%[f] 0% 9%
Rutgers-Eagleton Oct 21–27, 2021 901 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 42% - - - - 8% 8%
Stockton University Oct 17–26, 2021 522 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 41% - - - 6%[g] 3% 9%
Monmouth University Oct 21–25, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 39% - - - 2%[h] 9% 11%
Emerson College Oct 15–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 44% - - - 0% 7% 6%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D) Oct 9–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 41% - - - 0% 9% 9%
Stockton University Sep 17–25, 2021 552 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 41% - - - 6%[i] 3% 9%
Monmouth University Sep 16–20, 2021 804 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 38% - - - 3%[j] 9% 13%
National Research Inc. (R)[k] Sep 13–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 42% - - - - 10% 3%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[l] Aug 24–29, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 41% 2% 1% <1% - 14% 2%
46% 45% - - - - 9% 1%
Monmouth University Aug 11–16, 2021 810 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 36% - - - 3%[m] 9% 16%
National Research Inc. (R)[k] June 17–22, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 37% - - - - 14% 12%
Fairleigh Dickinson University June 9–16, 2021 803 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 33% - - - 5%[n] 14% 15%
Rutgers-Eagleton May 21–29, 2021 493 (A) ± 5.4% 52% 24% - - - 13%[o] 12% 28%
467 (RV) ± 5.6% 52% 26% - - - 11%[p] 10% 26%
Change Research (D)[q] May 15–20, 2021 1,215 (A) ± 3.9% 47% 36% - - - - 17% 11%
National Research Inc. (R)[k] April 11–13, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 30% - - - - 23% 17%
2017 NJ gubernatorial election Nov 7, 2017 2,147,415 - 56.0% 41.9% 0.5% 0.5% - 1.1% - 14.1%
Hypothetical polling
Phil Murphy vs. Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Phil
Murphy (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Rutgers-Eagleton May 21–29, 2021 461 (RV) – 42% 31% 27%[r]
Monmouth University April 29 – May 4, 2021 661 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 44% 8%

General election results

2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election, as of Nov. 14 10:24 AM ET [147][148]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Phil Murphy (incumbent) 1,315,286 51.06 -4.97%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 1,240,818 48.17 +6.28%
Green Madelyn R. Hoffman 8,274 0.32 -0.15%
Libertarian Gregg Mele 7,660 0.30 -0.19%
Socialist Workers Joanne Kuniansky 3,905 0.15 N/A
Total votes 2,575,943 100.00% N/A
Turnout
Registered electors
Democratic hold Swing -5.78

Results by county

County Murphy Ciattarelli Hoffman Others
Votes Percent Votes Percent Votes Percent Votes Percent
Atlantic 34,004 43.6% 43,431 55.7% 268 0.3% – –
Bergen 140,220 52.3% 126,272 47.1% 589 0.2% – –
Burlington 81,222 53.2% 70,511 46.2% 424 0.3% – –
Camden 88,206 61.7% 53,625 37.5% 557 0.4% – –
Cape May 13,438 36.3% 23,388 63.2% 82 0.2% – –
Cumberland 13,544 43.7% 17,242 55.6% 123 0.4% – –
Essex 125,617 73.7% 43,864 25.7% 447 0.3% – –
Gloucester 44,250 44.7% 53,849 54.5% 356 0.4% – –
Hudson 82,760 73.2% 29,189 25.8% 405 0.4% – –
Hunterdon 22,330 40.0% 32,962 59.1% 215 0.4% – –
Mercer 60,207 64.2% 32,834 35.0% 346 0.4% – –
Middlesex 104,303 54.8% 84,168 44.2% 853 0.4% – –
Monmouth 92,133 40.0% 136,574 59.2% 936 0.4% – –
Morris 77,675 43.5% 99,779 55.9% 554 0.3% – –
Ocean 67,176 31.7% 143,148 67.6% 649 0.3% – –
Passaic 53,768 50.6% 51,615 48.6% 346 0.3% – –
Salem 6,690 34.9% 12,319 64.2% 77 0.4% – –
Somerset 53,829 50.7% 51,635 48.6% 345 0.3% – –
Sussex 16,614 31.6% 35,359 67.2% 296 0.6% – –
Union 81,463 61.4% 50,901 37.8% 424 0.3% – –
Warren 11,932 33.8% 22,902 65.0% 198 0.6% – –

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  3. ^ Internal poll for the Hirsh Singh campaign
  4. ^ While the NJRTL recommended that voters choose Ciatarelli over Murphy, they refused to endorse him due to his support of abortion
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ "Someone Else" with 3%; "No One" with 1%
  7. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  8. ^ "Other candidate" with 1%; "No one" with 1%
  9. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  10. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "No one" with <1%
  11. ^ a b c Internal poll for the Jack Ciattarelli campaign
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  13. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "No one" with 1%
  14. ^ "Someone Else" with 4%; "No One" with 1%
  15. ^ "Neither" with 7%; "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  16. ^ "Neither" with 6%; "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  17. ^ This poll was sponsored by Project Ready
  18. ^ "Consider voting for someone else [besides Murphy]" with 21%; Undecided with 6%

References

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