It has been suggested that this article be merged with 2023 Alaska high-altitude object, 2023 Yukon high-altitude object and 2023 Montana radar incident. (Discuss) Proposed since February 2023. |
Part of China–United States and Canada–China relations | |
Date | January 28 – February 4, 2023 |
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Location | Airspace over the United States, Canada, and territorial waters |
Type | Airspace violation; diplomatic incident |
Cause | High-altitude Chinese balloons entering foreign airspace |
Motive | United States and Canada allege reconnaissance; China claims meteorology and force majeure due to westerlies |
Outcome | Balloon downed by an AIM-9 Sidewinder fired by a U.S. Air Force F-22 Raptor; debris recovered[4] |
From January 28 to February 4, 2023, a Chinese-operated high-altitude balloon was seen in North American airspace, including Alaska, western Canada, and the contiguous United States.[5] On February 4, the U.S. Air Force shot down the balloon over U.S. territorial waters off the coast of South Carolina, on the order of U.S. President Joe Biden.[6][7][8] Debris from the wreckage was recovered and sent to the FBI Laboratory in Quantico, Virginia, for analysis.[4]
The American and Canadian militaries asserted that the balloon was for surveillance, while the Chinese government maintained it was a civilian meteorological research airship that had blown off course.[9] Analysts said that the balloon's flight path and structural characteristics made it dissimilar from those which have typically been used for meteorological research.[10][11][12]
The U.S. government declassified information from American U-2 reconnaissance aircraft deployed to track the balloon, as well as other sources, that showed that the balloon had signals intelligence equipment, as part of an effort to "name and shame" Chinese espionage by publicly calling it out.[13] The U.S. said that the balloon was capable of locating electronic communications devices, including mobile phones and radios, and that it carried antennas and other equipment "clearly for intelligence surveillance" and inconsistent with the weather-balloon equipment.[14] The U.S. Department of State said that the balloon was part of a global Chinese military-directed surveillance effort in which Chinese spy balloons have flown over more than 40 nations in five continents.[13][14]
The incident increased U.S.–China tensions and prompted U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to delay a diplomatic visit to Beijing, which was set to be his first since 2018.[15][16][17] It also further strained Canada–China relations, as Canada summoned the Chinese ambassador because of the violation of Canadian airspace.[18] On February 3, the U.S. Department of Defense announced that a second Chinese balloon was passing over Latin America, which China also said belonged to it.[19][20][21]
The balloon had "an undercarriage roughly the size of three buses".[22] Some U.S. defense officials and others have said that the balloons would not offer much surveillance intel for China that they would not be able to collect through the government's spy satellites.[23]
The use of spy balloons as a military technology dates to the 19th and 20th centuries, during which various militaries employed them, including the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War.[24] Despite being rendered mostly obsolete by the advent of maneuverable and stealthy surveillance satellites and drones, balloons have retained some advantages, such as a lower cost of production and deployment.[24][25] The U.S. Department of Defense began investing in the military use of balloons in 2019 under its COLD STAR (Covert Long Dwell Stratospheric Architecture) program.[26][27][28]
Based on information taken from a People's Liberation Army procurement portal, the balloon is believed to be manufactured by a civilian Chinese military contractor.[29] An analysis by Reuters of an article in a Chinese state-run defense technology journal published in April 2022 showed increased interest in military balloon technology, suggesting China should "induce and mobilise the enemy's air defence system, providing the conditions for the implementation of electronic reconnaissance [and] assessment of air defence systems' early warning detection and operational response capabilities".[30] Following the downing of the balloon, official Chinese media published an article by a Beihang University Professor and retired senior People's Liberation Army Air Force colonel claiming the incursion fulfilled a strategy proposal in his 2014 paper titled "Innovating Air Defense Systems: Long Stays in the Air and Instant Strikes", in which he claimed airships are the "best choice for China to build its domestic air defense system".[31]
The 2023 balloon incident took place as U.S.–China relations were at their lowest point in decades,[14] amid increasing strategic competition between the two superpowers, including in espionage and in critical economic and military sectors, including semiconductors, artificial intelligence, life sciences, 5G telecommunications, and quantum computing.[32] The balloon incident followed previous Chinese government actions targeting the U.S., including the Chinese theft of the designs for the F-35 about fifteen years earlier and successful Chinese government-sponsored cyberattacks targeting the Office of Personnel Management security clearance files (2015), the healthcare company Anthem (2015), and the Marriott International system (2018).[32] In 2022, the U.S. and its allies imposed stringent additional export controls on the sale of "foundational technologies" (including advanced semiconductor chips and related technology) to China, with the aim of inhibiting Chinese military buildup.[14] The Biden administration has also sought to maintain critical-sector supply chains independent from China.[14]
On February 9, 2023, the U.S. Department of State declassified balloon intelligence, saying that the balloon, shot down over the Atlantic Ocean, was part of a fleet of Chinese military surveillance balloons that had flown over more than forty countries, and across five continents, including Latin America and Europe.[14][13][33]
This was the fifth detected Chinese balloon over the continental United States since 2017.[34] Chinese balloons suspected of surveillance activity have also entered U.S. airspace over Florida, Guam, and Hawaii.[35][36][15] In those instances, China was able to recover the balloons. No prior incursion persisted as long as the 2023 incident.[7] Of the preceding incidents, one occurred earlier during Biden's presidency (2021–present)[15][7] and three occurred during Donald Trump's presidency (2017–2021), according to an unnamed senior U.S. defense official.[15][7][37] The U.S. failed to detect some prior incursions at the time of their occurrence; other pre-2023 incursions had been detected but had remained unexplained, classified by U.S. authorities as unidentified anomalous phenomena; many of the previously unidentified incidents had been handed to the Defense Department task force responsible for investigating such events.[38] In the two years preceding the 2023 incident, U.S. officials had identified some of the incursions as Chinese spy balloons.[38][39] The commander of the United States Northern Command (USNORTHCOM), General Glen VanHerck said that the U.S. failure to detect and identify previous incursions was "a domain awareness gap that we have to figure out"; VanHerck has promoted the increased use of sensors and over-the-horizon radar to detect threats.[40][41][42]
In June 2020, a similar balloon was sighted in Sendai, Japan, which at the time was not identified as being of Chinese origin.[43][44] Likewise, in September 2021, another balloon with similar features was sighted in Hachinohe, Japan, although this was also not identified at the time as of Chinese origin.[45][46]
In February 2022, several balloons were spotted off the coast of Taiwan, which Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense said likely were for meteorological observations for the PLA's Eastern Theater Command and posed no immediate security threat.[47]
The balloon carried an underslung payload described as a "technology bay" estimated to be the size of "two or three school buses"[a] and was powered by sixteen solar arrays mounted on the payload; the balloon's own diameter was sizably larger at a length of 200 feet (61 m).[49] USNORTHCOM and NORAD Commander General Glen VanHerck estimated the payload weighed over 2,000 pounds (910 kg).[42]
National Security Council spokesman Admiral John Kirby said the craft had a propeller and could be maneuvered.[50] U.S. officials told foreign diplomats in Beijing that the craft had rudders and propellers.[51] A Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson said it had "limited self-steering capability".[52]
The U.S. Department of Defense said the balloon did not present a military or physical threat to people on the ground, and that shooting it down over water would be safer and increased the opportunity to study the wreckage for intelligence purposes.[53][54][55]
Images from U-2 flybys and forensic analysis of the payload showed antennas that likely were used for collecting and transmitting signals intelligence.[56][57] A publicly released U.S. State Department document, after the balloon was downed and debris collected, said that the balloon's solar arrays produced sufficient power to run "multiple active intelligence collection sensors" and that the antennas on the balloon could collect and geolocate communications, including radio and mobile phone signals, but it was unclear what specific devices were targets.[14] U.S. authorities identified the manufacturer of the balloon with high confidence as a company with direct ties to the People's Liberation Army. U.S. officials cited this as an example of military-civil fusion, in which Chinese civilian enterprises are highly integrated into China's military structure.[14]
Experts noted differences between the Chinese balloon and conventional weather balloons.[10][11] Standard weather balloons have typically been around 20 feet (6 m) wide, less than a quarter of the Chinese balloon's diameter.[11] Although weather sensors have become more sophisticated over time, they have remained relatively unchanged since the 1970s and 1980s, and have been consistent globally.[11] Experts interviewed by the BBC said it was unusual for weather balloons to last as long as the one involved in the incident and that the balloon "might have been more sophisticated than China claims".[12]
Former U.S. Air Force General and NORAD official Charles "Tuna" Moore said that the Chinese surveillance technology on the balloon was inconsistent with meteorological missions. He said that the Chinese would likely be interested in collecting emissions or signals from various radar, weapons, and communications systems to try to detect vulnerabilities in the defenses of the U.S. and its allies.[13]
External video | |
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Defense Department Briefing, February 3, 2023, C-SPAN[58] |
High-altitude (stratospheric) balloons are extremely difficult to detect. A 2005 study by the U.S. Air Force (USAF)'s Air University states surveillance balloons often present very small radar cross-sections, "on the order of hundredths of a square meter, about the same as a small bird", and essentially no infrared signature, which complicates the use of anti-aircraft weapons.[54][59] A 2009 research paper by a USAF officer found that such aircraft "are inherently stealthy" because of a tiny infrared signature at high altitude (attributable to the balloon's inert gas which produces very low heat emissions) and because of the difficulty of radar detection (as balloons themselves lack sharp edges and metal structures).[60]
The balloon's first reporting sighting was on February 1, 2023, when civilians in a commercial airliner spotted it.[61] On the same day, former Billings Gazette editor Chase Doak[62] spotted the object above Billings, Montana, after seeing reports that the airspace around Billings was closed. He had initially assumed it was a star or a UFO.[3] Doak contacted his friend and Billings Gazette photographer Larry Mayer,[63] and the two photographed the balloon using telephoto lenses. Mayer also sent the images to various government agencies.[63] After the photographs were published in the Billings Gazette and received widespread media coverage, the U.S. Department of Defense and the Canadian Department of National Defence announced on February 2 that NORAD was aware of a high-altitude surveillance balloon believed to belong to China and had been tracking it for "several" days.[64][65] The balloon was flying at an altitude of 60,000 feet (18,000 m) over Billings at the time.[53]
American defense officials considered shooting the balloon down but initially decided not to due to the risk of debris injuring civilians on the ground.[66] A meeting was convened between Secretary of Defense Austin, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley, NORTHCOM/NORAD Commander General VanHerck, and other military commanders.[64] Biden was advised by officials not to shoot it down because debris could threaten civilians or cause property damage.[64]
The balloon entered U.S. airspace above the Aleutian Islands on January 28, 2023, then moved across Alaska, and entered Canadian airspace over the Yukon and Northwest Territories on January 30, 2023.[15] The balloon then crossed into the U.S. in northern Idaho on January 31, and Montana on February 1,[15] where it was spotted over Billings.[65][53] Montana is the location of multiple nuclear missile installations, including Malmstrom Air Force Base, one of three U.S. Air Force bases from which intercontinental ballistic missiles are operated, raising suspicions that the balloon had been launched to surveil said nuclear installations.[65] A meteorological researcher calculated a possible trajectory along this path using the HYSPLIT atmospheric model, consistent with data on prevailing westerlies from China to Montana.[67] The balloon was spotted above northwest Missouri, near Kansas City, on February 3.[53]
An unnamed U.S. defense official told The Washington Post that the balloon was not a derelict object as it generally followed jet stream patterns but loitered when it was near sensitive sites, such as the Malmstrom AFB.[68] The Post said that that observation undermined Chinese assertions that the balloon was a wayward device.[68] The U.S. ground-based intercontinental nuclear arsenal is composed of about 400 LGM-30 Minuteman III missiles deployed in missile silos around Malmstrom AFB, Montana; Minot AFB, North Dakota; and Francis E. Warren AFB, Wyoming.[69] Experts interviewed by Time said that the balloon traveled at a much longer distance than what would be expected of a standard weather balloon and that Chinese officials should not have been surprised that the balloon would have eventually either crossed the U.S. or faced detection.[11]
The balloon was flying at an altitude of 60,000 feet (18,000 m). In comparison, the Concorde was the only commercial airliner to fly at 60,000 feet (18,000 m). Business jets can reach 51,000 feet (16,000 m), current commercial airliners can reach 45,000 feet (14,000 m), and the SR-71 had reached 90,000 feet (27,000 m).[70] The U-2S reconnaissance aircraft used to surveil the balloon and the F-15 Eagle and F-22 Raptor fighter jets are the only operational U.S. military planes with a comparable maximum service ceiling.
During the incident, a U.S. defense official stated that the balloon had "limited additive value from an intelligence collection perspective". Nonetheless, the Pentagon took steps to protect its assets from leaking sensitive information to the balloon.[71] U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said the U.S. military was able to collect valuable intelligence on the balloon while it was transiting North America.[24][72] VanHerck said that the U.S. Department of Defense obtained special authorization to collect intelligence against the balloon within the U.S.[41]
The balloon was monitored by crewed aircraft deployed by NORAD, including a Boeing E-3 Sentry Airborne Early Warning and Control System (AWACS), a Boeing RC-135 reconnaissance aircraft from Nellis Air Force Base,[66] and a F-22 Raptor from Langley Air Force Base.[73] The U.S. Department of Defense said that, during the balloon's overflight of the United States, it had blocked the balloon from gathering intelligence and was able to study the balloon and its equipment.[55][74]
A U.S. government official said that at least two U-2S reconnaissance aircraft were used to gather data on the balloon while it was over the Midwest, though it was not clear at which points in the balloon's flight it was tracked by U-2S aircraft.[41] The War Zone commented that the U-2S's high flight ceiling exceeding 70,000 feet (21,000 m) allowed it to observe the balloon from within relatively close proximity (including from above), and its electronic warfare suite allowed the aircraft to jam or monitor radio emissions from the balloon, including data transmissions directed upwards towards Chinese communications satellites.[41]
On February 4, the balloon drifted to the Carolinas.[75] The Federal Aviation Administration closed airspace over the area in one of the largest temporary flight restrictions in U.S. history, "more than five times the restricted airspace surrounding Washington, D.C., and nearly double the area of the state of Massachusetts".[76] A ground stop was ordered on the coast at Myrtle Beach International Airport, Charleston International Airport, and Wilmington International Airport.[77][78][79] Military aircraft were reported to be over the Carolinas.[80] U.S. officials later stated that this was in preparation for the eventual downing of the balloon within American territorial waters over the Atlantic.[15]
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High-definition video of the shootdown |
The balloon was shot down at an altitude of 58,000 feet (18,000 m) by an AIM-9X Sidewinder fired from a U.S. Air Force F-22 Raptor that had departed from Langley Air Force Base, off the coast of Surfside Beach, South Carolina, at 2:39 p.m. local time.[7][81][8] The downing was the first recorded by a F-22 and the first of an aircraft over U.S. territory since World War II.[82]
Video of the downing by an F-22
Debris from the balloon was dispersed over an area of 2.25 square kilometres (0.87 sq mi),[83] where the ocean was about 47 feet (14 m) deep and collection efforts were initiated for further inspection.[84][55] VanHerck said the United States Navy was conducting recovery operations while the United States Coast Guard was securing the region where the debris fell.[85] Guided-missile destroyer USS Oscar Austin, guided-missile cruiser USS Philippine Sea, and dock landing ship USS Carter Hall were tasked with retrieving the balloon wreckage, alongside Coast Guard cutters and helicopters, U.S. Navy divers, and FBI counterintelligence agents.[86][87][88] General VanHerck stated that unmanned underwater vehicles controlled from rigid inflatable boats used side-scan sonar to locate the sunken debris. The unmanned vehicles analyzed the wreckage to identify potential threats to recovery divers, such as explosives or batteries with hazardous materials.[42] The sunken payload was estimated to weigh more than 2,000 pounds (910 kg).[42]
On February 6, some of the downed payload was sent to the FBI Laboratory in Quantico, Virginia, for analysis by the Bureau's Operational Technology Division.[4][90] Possible balloon debris was spotted later on the South Carolina coast, where police were asking residents to report other sightings.[91] China said it wanted the wreckage returned,[92][93] but the U.S. said it had no plans to do so.[4]
On February 10, Fox News reported that the payload of the balloon had been found off the coast of South Carolina. The bus sized payload remained mostly intact. The recovery operation would continue for several days.[94]
On February 3, the U.S. Department of Defense stated that a second Chinese surveillance balloon had been detected, this one flying over Latin America.[20][21] The Costa Rican General Directorate of Civil Aviation confirmed the incursion by an object "not of Costa Rican origin" that locals had first seen on February 2.[95] The Colombian Air Force said that on the morning of February 3, it had detected an object with "characteristics similar to those of a balloon" at a height of 55,000 feet (17,000 m) and traveling at a speed of 25 knots (46 kilometres per hour; 29 miles per hour), and after determining it was not a threat to national security and defense or to air safety, had continued to track it until it left Colombian airspace.[96][97] Sightings of the balloon were also reported from Venezuela,[98][99][100][101] specifically from Maracaibo.[101] On February 6, Mao Ning, the spokeswoman for the Chinese government, confirmed the balloon belongs to China, but said that it was used for "flight tests" and was blown off-course in much the same manner as the one spotted over North America.[102][19]
Secretary of State Blinken postponed a scheduled diplomatic trip to China in response, which would have been the first such visit since 2018.[9][16][17][15] The White House did not want to announce the balloon's incursion to protect Blinken's trip, but press and social media interest made Pentagon officials comment.[62]
In response to questions regarding the situation, on February 4, Biden said, "We're going to take care of it."[103] Later that day, U.S. officials disclosed that three days earlier he had granted permission to down the balloon.[15]
Pentagon officials stated that there was no earlier opportunity to shoot down over water, rebutting Trump and other Republicans who criticized the Biden administration for not shooting down the balloon earlier.[55][104] Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer added: "The bottom line here is that shooting down the balloon over water wasn't just the safest option, but it was the one that maximized our intel gain."[105]
On February 6, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman briefed 150 diplomats from about 40 embassies on China's balloon surveillance program,[106] alleged by U.S. officials to have been run for several years by the People's Liberation Army from Hainan on China's south coast.[107] Officials are separately reaching out to countries where they say there have been at least two dozen such overflights since 2018, including Japan, India, Vietnam, Taiwan and the Philippines in addition to North and South America.[107][90]
The U.S. House Armed Services Committee held a February 7 hearing on wide-ranging Chinese military and intelligence threats including the balloon incursions.[108] Committee chair Republican Mike Rogers characterized the balloon as an intentionally calculated show of force.[109] A U.S. official told The Washington Post there was no sense that the balloon was a deliberate provocation, as it was part of an ongoing global surveillance program.[107] The U.S. House of Representatives voted 419–0 to adopt a resolution condemning China for the incident.[110][111]
Trump called reports of intrusions during his administration "fake disinformation";[38] his ex-top national security officials said they were unaware of any balloon incursions during their tenure.[112] Biden administration National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said that improved airspace surveillance ordered by Biden after he took office had detected the previous incursions and "enhanced our capacity to be able to detect things that the Trump administration was unable to detect".[113]
On February 10, the U.S. added six entities accused of being associated with China's balloon surveillance program to the U.S. Commerce Department Bureau of Industry and Security's Entity List, a U.S. exports blacklist.[114]
On shooting of the balloon, Christopher Twomey, a security scholar, said that any Chinese response would be restrained and that China would want to "sweep this under the rug" and emphasize senior-level visits within months.[115] The Washington Post columnist Ishaan Tharoor contextualized the incident as part of Cold War II.[116]
The incident was satirized in the cold open of the show Saturday Night Live the evening after it was shot down.[117] In the sketch, performer Bowen Yang portrayed an anthropomorphized depiction of the downed balloon being interviewed by MSNBC journalist Katy Tur, herself played by Chloe Fineman.[118] Some sources paid particular attention to Yang's line "Congrats! You shot a balloon!", with USA Today using it in the headline of its coverage.[119]
The balloon was the subject of many other jokes on television, in the press, by celebrities, and on social media.[120][121][122][123]
Canadian officials and Global Affairs Canada summoned the Chinese Ambassador to Canada, Cong Peiwu, to Ottawa while the Department of National Defence announced it was monitoring the situation alongside the United States through NORAD.[18][124] A statement from the Canadian Armed Forces said there was no threat to Canadians, and Minister of Foreign Affairs Mélanie Joly would remain in contact with Blinken.[125]
On February 3, spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs Mao Ning said: "It is a civilian airship used for research, mainly meteorological, purposes. Affected by the Westerlies and with limited self-steering capability, the airship deviated far from its planned course."[17] She said China regretted the unintentional incident, citing force majeure.[126] On February 6, Mao said that the U.S. "hyped up the incident on purpose and even used force to attack", and called the shoot down "an unacceptable and irresponsible action".[127]
The state-controlled China Daily newspaper also denied Chinese involvement on February 3, saying: "To spy on the U.S. with a balloon, one must both fall far behind to use a 1940s technology and be advanced enough to control its flight across the ocean. Those fabricating the lie are only exposing their ignorance."[66] On February 5, China Daily published an op-ed article calling the shoot down of the "civilian airship" a "blatant provocation" ahead of Blinken's visit to Beijing, the article further said that "the U.S. has many a time encroached into Chinese sea and air space on purpose in the name of freedom of navigation and overflight".[128]
Following the downing on February 5, Vice Foreign Minister Xie Feng said he had filed a formal complaint with the U.S. Embassy in response to the incident. Xie accused the United States of indiscriminately using force against the civilian airship that was about to leave U.S. airspace in violation of "the spirit of international law and international practice" and said that the Chinese government reserved the right to "take further necessary responses".[15][127] On February 6, a Chinese diplomat said in an interview with French news network LCI that the United States should return the recovered balloon debris to China.[129]
The incident coincided in timing with the release of science fiction film The Wandering Earth 2 in mainland China, causing some netizens and media to jokingly refer to the incident as "The Wandering Balloon".[130]
NATO secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg said the balloon "confirms a pattern of Chinese behavior where we see that China has invested heavily in new capabilities, including different types of surveillance and intelligence platforms", and that it presents security challenges for the members of the alliance.[131]
Amidst the ongoing Australia–China trade war, Australian Minister for Foreign Affairs Penny Wong said: "I believe the US has managed this as carefully as possible. They brought the balloon down over their own territorial waters."[132][133][134]
Venezuela's foreign ministry condemned the United States for shooting down what they stated was an unmanned civilian aircraft which posed no threat.[135][96]
On February 10 another high-altitude object was shot down on the vicinity of Deadhorse, Alaska over the Beaufort Sea;[136] recovery efforts by the Alaska National Guard on the sea ice are on-going. On February 12, on previous orders of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, a "small, cylindrical object" was shot down over the Yukon Territory for violating Canadian air space; both U.S. and Canadian aircraft had scrambled, and a U.S. F-22 jet fighter made the kill. Recovery efforts are also on-going as of this writing. These incidents mark the second and third time respectively that initially unidentified aerial phenomena (or bogeys) have been shot down over North America in a week.[137]
This maneuverability is beyond the capabilities of most high-altitude balloons, says John Villasenor, director of the Institute for Technology, Law and Policy and a professor of electrical engineering, law, public policy and management at the University of California, Los Angeles.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
A U.S. Air Force fighter safely shot down a Chinese high-altitude surveillance balloon today, Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III said in a written statement.
The US believes that the flying objects shot down over North American airspace on Friday and Saturday were balloons, according to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer.
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